Genes selection using deep learning and explainable artificial intelligence for chronic lymphocytic leukemia predicting the need and time to therapy.

Analyzing gene expression profiles (GEP) through artificial intelligence provides meaningful insight into cancer disease. This study introduces DeepSHAP Autoencoder Filter for Genes Selection (DSAF-GS), a novel deep learning and explainable artificial intelligence-based approach for feature selection in genomics-scale data. DSAF-GS exploits the autoencoder's reconstruction capabilities without changing the original feature space, enhancing the interpretation of the results. Explainable artificial intelligence is then used to select the informative genes for chronic lymphocytic leukemia prognosis of 217 cases from a GEP database comprising roughly 20,000 genes. The model for prognosis prediction achieved an accuracy of 86.4%, a sensitivity of 85.0%, and a specificity of 87.5%. According to the proposed approach, predictions were strongly influenced by CEACAM19 and PIGP, moderately influenced by MKL1 and GNE, and poorly influenced by other genes. The 10 most influential genes were selected for further analysis. Among them, FADD, FIBP, FIBP, GNE, IGF1R, MKL1, PIGP, and SLC39A6 were identified in the Reactome pathway database as involved in signal transduction, transcription, protein metabolism, immune system, cell cycle, and apoptosis. Moreover, according to the network model of the 3D protein-protein interaction (PPI) explored using the NetworkAnalyst tool, FADD, FIBP, IGF1R, QTRT1, GNE, SLC39A6, and MKL1 appear coupled into a complex network. Finally, all 10 selected genes showed a predictive power on time to first treatment (TTFT) in univariate analyses on a basic prognostic model including IGHV mutational status, del(11q) and del(17p), NOTCH1 mutations, ß2-microglobulin, Rai stage, and B-lymphocytosis known to predict TTFT in CLL. However, only IGF1R [hazard ratio (HR) 1.41, 95% CI 1.08-1.84, P=0.013), COL28A1 (HR 0.32, 95% CI 0.10-0.97, P=0.045), and QTRT1 (HR 7.73, 95% CI 2.48-24.04, P<0.001) genes were significantly associated with TTFT in multivariable analyses when combined with the prognostic factors of the basic model, ultimately increasing the Harrell's c-index and the explained variation to 78.6% (versus 76.5% of the basic prognostic model) and 52.6% (versus 42.2% of the basic prognostic model), respectively. Also, the goodness of model fit was enhanced (χ2 = 20.1, P=0.002), indicating its improved performance above the basic prognostic model. In conclusion, DSAF-GS identified a group of significant genes for CLL prognosis, suggesting future directions for bio-molecular research.

Medium-term and long-term renal function changes with direct oral anticoagulants in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation.

Objective: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease frequently coexist in the elderly. Warfarin-like drugs (WLDs) may be associated with a relatively greater decrease of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) as compared to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), but there is no evidence on the medium- and long-term changes. To further elucidate this issue in elderly patients with AF, we investigated the renal function deterioration in the two groups of the study (DOACs or WLDs). Patients and Methods: A total of 420 AF patients were enrolled (mean age: 77.0 ± 6.0 years; 136 on WLDs and 284 on DOACs). These patients underwent three eGFR measurements during the follow-up period. The between-arms difference of eGFR decline over time was investigated by Linear Mixed Models and group-based trajectory model analyses. Results: In the whole study cohort, after a median follow-up of 4.9 years (interquartile range: 2.7-7.0 years), eGFR decreased from 67.4 ± 18.2 to 47.1 ± 14.3 mL/min/1.73 m2 (p < 0.001). Remarkably, patients on DOACs experienced a significantly smaller eGFR decline than WLDs patients (-21.3% vs. -45.1%, p < 0.001) and this was true both in the medium-term (-6.6 vs. -19.9 mL/min/1.73 m2) and in the long-term (-13.5 versus -34.2 mL/min/1.73 m2) period. After stratification into five subgroups according to trajectories of renal function decline over time, logistic regression showed that DOACs patients had from 3.03 to 4.24-fold greater likelihood to belong to the trajectory with less marked eGFR decline over time than WLDs patients. Conclusion: Elderly patients with AF on treatment with DOACs had a relatively smaller decline of eGFR over time compared to those on treatment with WLDs. This is consistent with what was partly reported in the literature.

Post-hoc analysis of a tool to predict kidney failure in patients with IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Recently, a tool based on two different artificial neural networks has been developed. The first network predicts kidney failure (KF) development while the second predicts the time frame to reach this outcome. In this study, we conducted a post-hoc analysis to evaluate the discordant results obtained by the tool. METHODS: The tool performance was analyzed in a retrospective cohort of 1116 adult IgAN patients, as were the causes of discordance between the predicted and observed cases of KF. RESULTS: There was discordance between the predicted and observed KF in 216 IgAN patients (19.35%) all of whom were elderly, hypertensive, had high serum creatinine levels, reduced renal function and moderate or severe renal lesions. Many of these patients did not receive therapy or were non-responders to therapy. In other IgAN patients the tool predicted KF but the outcome was not reached because patients responded to therapy. Therefore, in the discordant group (prediction did not match the observed outcome) the proportion of patients having or not having KF was strongly associated with treatment (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The post-hoc analysis shows that discordance in a low number of patients is not an error, but rather the effect of positive response to therapy. Thus, the tool could both help physicians to determine the prognosis of the disease and help patients to plan for their future.

Long Term Metabolic Effects of Sacubitril/Valsartan in Non-Diabetic and Diabetic Patients With Heart Failure Reduced Ejection Fraction: A Real Life Study.

Sacubitril/Valsartan (sac/val) has improved clinical prognosis in patients affected by heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). HF and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) frequently coexist, with a prevalence of T2DM of 35%-40% in patients with HF. T2DM is the third co-morbidities in patients with HF and a strong independent risk factor for the progression of HF. In a post hoc analysis of PARADIGM-HF, improved glycemic control was shown in patients with T2DM and HFrEF receiving sac/val compared to enalapril at 12 months of follow-up. The aim of the present study was to evaluate, in a series of repeated observations in 90 HFrEF patients, the long term effect of sac/val treatment on renal function, glycometabolic state and insulin sensitivity parameters, according to diabetic status. We studied 90 patients (74 men and 16 women, mean age 68 ± 10 years, 60 diabetics and 30 non-diabetics) suffering from HFrEF and still symptomatic despite optimal pharmacological therapy. Patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <35% and II-III NYHA functional class were enrolled. All patients underwent clinical-instrumental and laboratory determinations and Minnesota Living with HF Questionnaire (MLHFQ) every 6 months until 30 months to evaluate benefits and adverse events. After 30 months follow-up, we observed a significant improvement in glycometabolic parameters including HbA1c, fasting glucose and insulin, insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1), HOMA index, and LDL cholesterol. Moreover, renal function, NTpro-BNP levels and echocardiographic parameters significantly improved. In diabetic patients a significant reduction in use of oral antidiabetic drugs and insulin was observed after 30 months of sac/val treatment. In the whole population, multivariate analysis shows that the evolution of cardiac index (CI) was significantly associated to simultaneous changes in HOMA, IGF-1 and visit; per each visit and for 1 ng/ml increase in IGF-1 there was an increase in CI of 64.77 ml/min/m2 (p < 0.0001) and 0.98 ml/min/m2 (p = 0.003), respectively, whereas 1 point increase in HOMA was associated with a -7.33 ml/min/m2 (p = 0.003) reduction in CI. The present data confirm persistent metabolic improvement in patients with HFrEF after treatment with sac/val and highlights its potential therapeutical role in patients with metabolic comorbidities.

Methods to Analyse Time-to-Event Data: The Kaplan-Meier Survival Curve.

Studies performed in the field of oxidative medicine and cellular longevity frequently focus on the association between biomarkers of cellular and molecular mechanisms of oxidative stress as well as of aging, immune function, and vascular biology with specific time to event data, such as mortality and organ failure. Indeed, time-to-event analysis is one of the most important methodologies used in clinical and epidemiological research to address etiological and prognostic hypotheses. Survival data require adequate methods of analyses. Among these, the Kaplan-Meier analysis is the most used one in both observational and interventional studies. In this paper, we describe the mathematical background of this technique and the concept of censoring (right censoring, interval censoring, and left censoring) and report some examples demonstrating how to construct a Kaplan-Meier survival curve and how to apply this method to provide an answer to specific research questions.

Lymphocyte Doubling Time As A Key Prognostic Factor To Predict Time To First Treatment In Early-Stage Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia.

The prognostic role of lymphocyte doubling time (LDT) in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) was recognized more than three decades ago when the neoplastic clone's biology was almost unknown. LDT was defined as the time needed for the peripheral blood lymphocyte count to double the of the initial observed value. Herein, the LDT prognostic value for time to first treatment (TTFT) was explored in our prospective O-CLL cohort and validated in in two additional CLL cohorts. Specifically, newly diagnosed Binet stage A CLL patients from 40 Italian Institutions, representative of the whole country, were prospectively enrolled into the O-CLL1-GISL protocol (clinicaltrial.gov identifier: NCT00917540). Two independent cohorts of newly diagnosed CLL patients recruited respectively at the Division of Hematology in Novara, Italy, and at the Hospital Clinic in Barcelona, Spain, were utilized as validation cohorts. In the training cohort, TTFT of patients with LDT >12 months was significantly longer related to those with a shorter LDT. At Cox multivariate regression model, LDT ≤ 12 months maintained a significant independent relationship with shorter TTFT along with IGHV unmutated (IGHVunmut) status, 11q and 17p deletions, elevated ß2M, Rai stage I-II, and NOTCH1 mutations. Based on these statistics, two regression models were constructed including the same prognostic factors with or without the LDT. The model with the LTD provided a significantly better data fitting (χ2 = 8.25, P=0.0041). The risk prediction developed including LDT had better prognostic accuracy than those without LDT. Moreover, the Harrell'C index for the scores including LDT were higher than those without LDT, although the accepted 0.70 threshold exceeded in both cases. These findings were also confirmed when the same analysis was carried out according to TTFT's explained variation. When data were further analyzed based on the combination between LDT and IGHV mutational status in the training and validation cohorts, IGHVunmut and LDT>12months group showed a predominant prognostic role over IGHVmut LTD ≤ 12 months (P=0.006) in the O-CLL validation cohort. However, this predominance was of borden-line significance (P=0.06) in the Barcelona group, while the significant prognostic impact was definitely lost in the Novara group. Overall, in this study, we demonstrated that LDT could be re-utilized together with the more sophisticated prognostic factors to manage the follow-up plans for Binet stage A CLL patients.

Spotlight on Melphalan Flufenamide: An Up-and-Coming Therapy for the Treatment of Myeloma.

Despite recent therapeutic advances, multiple myeloma (MM) patients experience relapses as they become resistant to various classes and combinations of treatment. Melphalan (L-PAM) is an ageless drug. However, its use in the autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) setting and the innovative quadruplet regimen as well as daratumumab, bortezomib, and prednisone make this old drug current yet. Melflufen is a peptide-conjugated alkylator belonging to a novel class of compounds, representing an overcoming of L-PAM in terms of mechanism of action and effectiveness. The improved melflufen cytotoxicity is related to aminopeptidase activity, notably present in normal and neoplastic cells and remarkably heavily overexpressed in MM cells. Upon entering a cell, melflufen is cleaved by aminopeptidases, ultimately releasing the L-PAM payload and eliciting further the inflow and cleavage of the conjugated peptide. This virtuous loop persists until all extracellular melflufen has been utilized. The aminopeptidase-driven accumulation results in a 50-fold increase in L-PAM cell enrichment as compared with free alkylator. This condition produces selective cytotoxicity, increased on-target cell potency, and decreased off-target cell toxicity, ultimately overcoming resistance pathways triggered by previous treatments, including alkylators. Due to its distinct mechanism of action, melflufen plus dexamethasone as a doublet, and in combination with other novel drugs, has the potential to be beneficial for a broad range of patients with relapsed/refractory (RR) MM in third- or even in second-line therapy. The safety profile of melflufen has been consistent across studies, and no new safety concerns have been identified when melflufen was administered in doublet and triplet combinations. Based on growing clinical evidence, melflufen could be not only a good addition in the fight against RRMM but also a drug with a very favorable tolerability profile.

Validation of the Alternative International Prognostic Score-E (AIPS-E): Analysis of Binet stage A chronic lymphocytic leukemia patients enrolled into the O-CLL1-GISL protocol.

OBJECTIVES: To validate the predictive value on time to first treatment (TTFT) of AIPS-E and IPS-E evaluated in an independent cohort of newly diagnosed and non-referred Binet stage A CLL patients enrolled in the O-CLL1-GISL protocol (clinicaltrial.gov identifier: NCT00917540). METHODS: A cohort of 292 newly diagnosed Binet A CLL cases has been enrolled in the study. Patients from several Italian Institutions were prospectively enrolled within 12 months of diagnosis into the O-CLL1-GISL protocol. RESULTS: The majority of patients were male (62%); median age was 60.4 years, 102 cases (34.9%) showed unmutated IGHV genes, 8 cases (2.8) the presence of del(11q)/del(17p), 142 cases (48.6%) the presence of palpable lymph nodes and 146 cases (50%) and ALC > 15 × 109 /l. After a median follow-up of 7.2 years, 130 patients underwent treatment. According to the AIPS-E, 96 patients were classified as low-risk, 128 as intermediate-risk, and 68 as high-risk. These groups showed significant differences in terms of TTFT. The C-statistic was 0.71 (P < .0001) for predicting TTFT. According to IPS-E, 77 patients were classified as low-risk, 135 as intermediate-risk, and 80 as high-risk. These groups showed significant differences in terms of TTFT. The C-statistic was 0.705 (P < .0001) for predicting TTFT. CONCLUSIONS: Our data confirm an accurate prognostic utility of both AIPS-E and IPS-E at the individual patient level. These data may be useful for a precise stratification of early-stage patients.

Epidemiology of hyperkalemia in CKD patients under nephrological care: a longitudinal study.

Hyperkalemia is a potential life-threatening condition among chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Available estimates of the burden of this alteration in CKD are mainly derived from large administrative databases. Since K measurements in patients in these databases are often dictated by clinical reasons, longitudinal studies including pre-planned measurements of potassium independently of clinical complication/symptoms may produce more reliable estimates of the frequency and the risk factors underlying hyperkalemia in CKD patients. We estimated the prevalence and the incidence of hyperkalemia in a longitudinal study in 752 stages 2-5 CKD patients lasting 3 years and including up to seven pre-planned assessment of key biochemical measurements including K. At baseline, 203 out of 752 patients (27%) had serum K > 5.0 mM/L and 33% had acidosis (HCO3 ≤ 22 mmol/L). Among those without hyperkalemia at baseline (n = 549), 284 patients developed this alteration across the 3-year follow-up. The point prevalence of hyperkalemia rose from 27% (baseline) to 30% (last visit) (P = 0.001). In a multivariate model, hyperkalemia at baseline [odds ratio (OR):7.29, 95% CI 5.65-9.41, P < 0.001], venous bicarbonate levels [OR (1 mmol/l): 0.92, 0.89-0.96, P < 0.001], eGFR [OR (1 ml/min/1.73m2): 0.98, 0.97-0.99, P < 0.001], use of ACE inhibitors (OR: 1.68, 1.28-2.19, P < 0.001) and angiotensin II antagonists (OR: 1.30, 1.01-1.68, P = 0.045) were related to hyperkalemia over time. Of note, venous bicarbonate levels emerged as an independent risk factor of hyperkalemia over time also in a separate analysis of patients with and without hyperkalemia at baseline. In a cohort of CKD patients including pre-planned measurements of K, 27% of patients had hyperkalemia. Metabolic acidosis and the use of drugs interfering with renin-angiotensin system were the strongest modifiable risk factors for this potentially life-threatening alteration in CKD in longitudinal analyses in the whole study cohort and in patients developing de novo hyperkalemia over time.

Comparison of ibrutinib and idelalisib plus rituximab in real-life relapsed/resistant chronic lymphocytic leukemia cases.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the capacity of ibrutinib (IB) and idelalisib-rituximab (IDELA-R) of prolonging overall survival (OS) as in CLL patients, previously treated with chemotherapy only. METHODS: A real-life cohort of 675 cases has been identified and investigated in the database of the groups participating in the study. RESULTS: At an unadjusted univariate analysis, a significant death risk reduction was observed favoring IB (IDELA-R vs IB HR = 0.5, 95% CI = 0.36-0.71) although with some limitations due to the non-randomized and retrospective nature of the study and to the lower number of patients in the IDELA-R group (112 cases) related to the current prescribing practice. To overcome the potential problem of confounding by indication, we adjusted the association between the type of therapy and mortality for all variables significantly associated with OS at Cox univariate analysis. Furthermore, those variables, differently distributed between the two study groups, were introduced into the multivariate Cox model to improve the effectiveness of the analysis. By introducing all these variables into the multiple Cox regression model, we confirmed the protective effect of IB vs IDELA-R (HR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.45-0.98, P = .04) independent of potential confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Although our analysis presents some constraints, that is, the unavailability of additional potential confounders, and the retrospective nature of the study, this observation may be of help for the daily clinical practice, particularly in the absence of randomized trials comparing the two schedules.

The Burden in Caregivers of Multiple Myeloma Patients Undergoing Outpatient Autologous Stem-Cell Transplantation Compared to Inpatient Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The application of different models of autologous stem-cell transplantation (ASCT) in multiple myeloma has demonstrated the feasibility and safety of outpatient-based programs of care. Although several systematic reviews have evaluated the burden of caregivers, only a few studies have included outpatient ASCT. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The feelings of lack of family support, daily activities, and general health were compared between caregivers of 2 groups of patients with multiple myeloma who underwent inpatient (n = 71) or outpatient (n = 25) ASCT. RESULTS: The 3 features did not significantly differ between the 2 study groups at baseline, before, and 3 months after ASCT. Multivariate modeling showed that the baseline values were significantly related to the changes in study outcomes independent of patient and caregiver characteristics. Other correlates were caregivers' work and patient age for impact on daily activities and disease burden across time for impact on general health (all P < .05). CONCLUSION: The outpatient model neither improves nor impairs global caregivers' burden compared to standard ASCT care. Further research is needed to confirm this observation and to better assess the burden and quality of life of caregivers and their influence on patient outcomes and quality of life.

Is there long-term value of pathology scoring in immunoglobulin A nephropathy? A validation study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) update.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether renal pathology lesions in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) correlate with renal outcomes over decades of follow-up. METHODS: In 1130 patients of the original Validation Study of the Oxford Classification for IgA Nephropathy (VALIGA) cohort, we studied the relationship between the MEST score (mesangial hypercellularity, M; endocapillary hypercellularity, E; segmental glomerulosclerosis, S; tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis, T), crescents (C) and other histological lesions with both a combined renal endpoint [50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) loss or kidney failure] and the rate of eGFR decline over a follow-up period extending to 35 years [median 7 years (interquartile range 4.1-10.8)]. RESULTS: In this extended analysis, M1, S1 and T1-T2 lesions as well as the whole MEST score were independently related with the combined endpoint (P < 0.01), and there was no effect modification by age for these associations, suggesting that they may be valid in children and in adults as well. Only T lesions were associated with the rate of eGFR loss in the whole cohort, whereas C showed this association only in patients not treated with immunosuppression. In separate prognostic analyses, the whole set of pathology lesions provided a gain in discrimination power over the clinical variables alone, which was similar at 5 years (+2.0%) and for the whole follow-up (+1.8%). A similar benefit was observed for risk reclassification analyses (+2.7% and +2.4%). CONCLUSION: Long-term follow-up analyses of the VALIGA cohort showed that the independent relationship between kidney biopsy findings and the risk of progression towards kidney failure in IgAN remains unchanged across all age groups and decades after the renal biopsy.

GOLFIG Chemo-Immunotherapy in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients. A Critical Review on a Long-Lasting Follow-Up.

Background: GOLFIG is a chemo-immunotherapy regimen established in preclinical models that combines gemcitabine + FOLFOX (fluoropyrimidine backbone coupled to oxaliplatin) poly-chemotherapy with low-dose s. c. recombinant interleukin-2 (rIL-2) and granulocyte-macrophage colony stimulating factor (GM-CSF). Promising antitumor effects in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients were obtained in previous phase II and III trials. Here we report the results of 15 years of follow-up. Methods: This is a multi-institutional retrospective analysis including 179 mCRC patients receiving GOLFIG regimen between June 2002 and June 2018. Sixty-two of them received the treatment as frontline (enrolled in the GOLFIG-2 phase III trial) and 117 as second/third line (49 enrolled in the GOLFIG-1 phase II trial and 68 as compassionate use). One hundred twelve patients showed a primary left side and 67 a primary right side; K/N-ras mutational status was available in 74 cases, and an activating mutation was detected in 33. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were carried out to relate PFS and OS with different parameters. Results: Overall, we recorded a mean PFS and OS of 15.28 (95% CI: 10.36-20.20) and 24.6 (95% CI: 19.07-30.14) months, respectively, with 14 patients surviving free of progression for 10 years. This regimen, in our updated survey of the GOLFIG-2 trial, confirmed superiority over FOLFOX in terms of PFS (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.58, p = 0.006) with a trend to a longer OS (HR = 0.69, P = 0.06) in the first line. Our analysis also confirmed significant antitumor activity in pre-treated patients, reporting a mean PFS and OS of 12.55 (95% CI: 7.19-17.9) and 20.28 (95% CI: 14.4-26.13) months, respectively. Immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were recorded in 24% of the cases and were related to a longer survival (HR = 0.36; P = 0.0001). Finally, patients' outcome was not correlated to sex, sidedness, and MT-K/N-ras. Conclusions: The GOLFIG regimen is a reliable underestimated therapeutic option in pre-treated mCRC patients and offers a strong rationale to design further trials.

In search of potential predictors of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) hyporesponsiveness: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Evidences show that around 20% of biosimilar or originator erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) users are hyporesponsive. Controversial post-marketing data exist on the predictors of ESA hyporesponsiveness. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of ESA hyporesponsiveness in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) or cancer in clinical practice. METHODS: During the years 2009-2015, a multi-center, population-based, cohort study was conducted using claims databases of Treviso and Caserta Local Health Units (LHUs). All incident ESA users were characterized at baseline and the differences between the baseline hemoglobin (Hb) value, that is the Hb registered within 30 days prior to the first ESA dispensing (index date, ID) and each outcome Hb value (registered between 30 and 180 days after ID) were calculated and defined as delta Hb (ΔHb). Incident ESA users were defined as hyporesponsive if, during follow-up, they registered at least one ΔHb < 0 g/dL. Including all potential predictors of ESA hyporesponsiveness and stratifying by indication for use, univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression models and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were carried out. RESULTS: In general, 1080 incident ESA users (CKD: 57.0%; cancer: 43.0%) were identified. In CKD, predictors of ESA hyporesponsiveness were C-reactive protein (OR = 1.2, 95% CI: 1.0-1.5; P-value = 0.060) and high levels of baseline Hb (OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2-2.2; P-value< 0,001), the latter being also predictor of ESA hyporesponsiveness in cancer (OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.1-2.4; P-value = 0.007). Both in CKD and in cancer, the type of ESA, biosimilar or originator, was not a predictor of ESA hyporesponsiveness. In CKD, concomitant use of iron preparations (OR = 0.3, 95% CI: 0.2-0.7; P-value = 0.002) and of high dosage of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin II-receptor blockers (OR = 0.5, 95% CI: 0.3-0.9; P-value = 0.022) were protective factors against ESA hyporesponsiveness. CONCLUSIONS: The study confirmed traditional potential predictors of hyporesponsiveness to ESA. The use of biosimilar or originator ESA was not a predictor of hyporesponsiveness in an outpatient setting from two large Italian areas. A better knowledge of the predictors of ESA response would allow a better anemia management to improve patients' quality of life.

Early blood rise in auto-antibodies to nuclear and smooth muscle antigens is predictive of prolonged survival and autoimmunity in metastatic-non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with PD-1 immune-check point blockade by nivolumab.

Immune-checkpoint blockade by Nivolumab, a human monoclonal antibody to programmed cell death receptor-1, is an emerging treatment for metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). In order to prolong patient survival, this treatment requires a continuous cross-priming of tumor derived-antigens to supply fresh tumor-specific immune-effectors; a phenomenon that may also trigger auto-immune-related adverse events (irAEs). The present study therefore investigated the prognostic value of multiple autoimmunity-associated parameters in patients with mNSCLC who were undergoing Nivolumab treatment. This retrospective study included 92 mNSCLC patients who received salvage therapy with Nivolumab (3 mg/kg, biweekly) between September 2015 and June 2018. Log-rank test, Mantel-Cox and McPherson analyses were conducted to correlate patient progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with different parameters including blood cell counts, serum inflammatory markers and auto-antibodies (AAbs). A median PFS and OS of 10 [inter-quartile range (IQR): 5.8-14.2] and 16 [IQR: 6.2-25.8] months, respectively, were recorded, which did not correlated with age, histology or the number of previous chemotherapy lines. Male gender, the type of therapeutic regimens received prior to Nivolumab, and the occurrence of irAEs were revealed to be positive predictors of prolonged survival (P<0.05). Early detection (within 30 days) of >1AAbs among anti-nuclear antigens (ANAs), extractable nuclear antigens (ENAs) and anti-smooth cell antigens (ASMAs) correlated with prolonged PFS [hazard ratio (HR)=0.23; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.08-0.62; P=0.004] and OS [HR=0.28 (95% CI: 0.09-0.88), P=0.03], with the type of treatment received prior to nivolumab (P=0.007) and with the risk of irAEs (P=0.002). In conclusion, increased serum levels of ANA, ENA and/or ASMA are consequential to Nivolumab administration and are predictive of a positive outcome in mNSCLC patients.

Cardiac valve calcification and use of anticoagulants: Preliminary observation of a potentially modifiable risk factor.

AIMS: Direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) has been recently introduced in the clinical practice. Rather than interfering with vitamin K-dependent posttranscriptional modification of various proteins, DOACs selectively inhibit factors involved in the coagulation cascade. In particular, in contrast with Warfarin, Rivaroxabn does not interfere with activation of matrix Gla Protein (MGP), a potent vascular calcification Inhibitor. We herein sought to investigate the impact of Rivaroxaban and Warfarin on cardiac valve calcifications in a cohort of moderate-to advanced CKD patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a multicenter, observational, retrospective, longitudinal study. Consecutive CKD stage 3b - 4 (according to KDIGO guidelines) patients from 8 cardiologic outpatient clinics were enrolled between May 2015 and October 2017. All patients received anticoagulation (100 Warfarin vs 247 Rivaroxaban) as part of their non-valvular atrial fibrillation management. Cardiac valve calcification was evaluated via standard trans-thoracic echocardiogram. 347 patients (mean age: 66 years; mean eGFR: 37 ml/min/1.73 m2) were studied. Over a mean follow-up period of 16 months, Rivaroxaban compared to Warfarin reduced both mitral and aortic valve calcifications (p < 0.001) independently of the degree of calcifications at baseline and potential confounders. Notably, Rivaroxaban use was also associated with a significant reduction in C reactive protein (CRP) (p < 0.001) during follow-up. CONCLUSION: This study generates the hypothesis that the use of Rivaroxaban associates with a reduction of cardiac valve calcification deposition and progression as compared to Warfarin, in a cohort of CKD stage 3b-4 patients. Future endeavors are needed to confirm and to establish the mechanisms responsible for these findings.